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The Bond Market Just Suffered a Brutal Selloff. Stocks Are Feeling the Strain.
Barrons.com15h agobearish
The Bond Market Just Suffered a Brutal Selloff. Stocks Are Feeling the Strain.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note shot up 0.15 percentage point to 5.11%, its highest level since 2007. The upshot will be higher borrowing costs throughout the economy if yields don’t return to their previous levels. Mortgage rates already are heading toward 7%, or even higher, threatening to depress an already weak housing market in many parts of the country.

The Fed Is (Almost) Powerless Against the Bond Selloff
Barrons.com7d agobearish
The Fed Is (Almost) Powerless Against the Bond Selloff

The Federal Reserve’s long-awaited rate hikes are unlikely to rescue the beaten-down Treasury market. Long-dated U.S. government bonds, as measured by the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond exchange-traded fund, have generated 4.4% in losses this year on a total-return basis. Consider this: The 10-year breakeven rate, which measures future inflation expectations, has only risen 0.09 percentage points this year through Wednesday, even as the 10-year Treasury yield has risen nearly a full percentage point to 5.02%, a 19-year high.

Treasury ETF Falls. A Record Low Looms
Barrons.com128d agobearish
Treasury ETF Falls. A Record Low Looms

It's the last line of support and a famous long-term government bond fund is close to crossing it. If the fund manages to trade below that level, it will surpass its 2023 closing low of $82.77 and be on pace for its lowest close since June 12, 2007, when it closed at $82.35.

Jobs- Stronger April Report Boosts Growth Hopes, Keeps Fed Cuts on Hold
MoneyShow136d agobearish
Jobs- Stronger April Report Boosts Growth Hopes, Keeps Fed Cuts on Hold

A stronger-than-expected April jobs report gave investors a second straight upside surprise, a welcome development after an uneven stretch for the labor market. Payrolls rose while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, although average hourly earnings were a bit light, writes Bret Kenwell, US investment analyst at eToro US.

Rate Cuts Are Coming: Here’s How to Position TLT, XLRE, and ITB Now
24/7 Wall St.141d agobearish
Rate Cuts Are Coming: Here’s How to Position TLT, XLRE, and ITB Now

The Federal Reserve has already trimmed its policy rate by 0.75 percentage points over the past year, leaving the upper bound at 3.75%. The question facing rate-sensitive sectors is what happens if the cutting cycle continues. Three exchange-traded funds sit at the center of that question: the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT), the ... Rate Cuts Are Coming: Here’s How to Position TLT, XLRE, and ITB Now