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The bond market is sending louder warner signs to the stock market. Now, stock fans need to listen up.

It’s reasonable to expect another rate hike by the end of the year, New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said early Thursday. Inflation is the “big challenge” for policymakers, Williams said at the London Macro Policy Forum in London. It may be as close as investors get to forward guidance, something which Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh has moved to scrap.

Benchmark and longer-dated Treasury yields continue to push higher after yesterday's big surge. The move is mirrored across developed nations' debt, with Japanese, French and U.K. bond yields all strengthening.

Ten-year Treasury yields hit 5.1% yesterday. The 10-year yield rose almost 0.15 percentage point, to 5.113%, its highest closing yield since July 12, 2007. Oil’s price rise accompanied firming conviction that the Fed will be hiking again.

Inflation fears and rising bond yields outweighed hopes for Middle East diplomacy and for the artificial intelligence boom to continue its run.

U.S. government bond yields are higher across the curve today, with the 10-year yield poised to make its biggest one-day jump in four months. Some of the factors behind the move: Inflationary pressure.

Treasury yields have climbed to multi-year highs as inflation fears and the growing national deficit pressure bonds. This is far from an American problem. The yield has risen 1.13 percentage points since the start of the Iran war, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

The 10-year Treasury yield rose to its highest level since 2007 on Wednesday.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose above 5.06% this morning—rocketing past the 5.026% level it reached earlier this month. That's the highest level since July 2007. Yields jumped across the curve, with the 2-year yield hitting its highest level since 2024.

Here's a check of the markets in the first few minutes of trading.

After back-to-back Nasdaq record highs, investors are monitoring US diplomatic efforts with Iran and China, as well as a recent rally in tech stocks.

A closely watched part of the Treasury yield curve is flattening. The spread between the two-year and 10-year Treasury yield hit its narrowest level since March 2025 this morning, according to FactSet data, in the latest sign that investors are pricing in higher rates. The spread has been narrowing since February as investors increasingly priced in inflation risks from the conflict with Iran.

Investors have priced in more than a 50% chance of another rate hike in October after the Federal Reserve voted unanimously last week to increase rates.

Treasury yields edge higher and the curve flattens as markets price in a more hawkish Fed. Wednesday's hike boosts confidence in the Fed's commitment to fighting inflation. That makes shorter-term yields rise faster than long-term ones.

Markets opened on shaky footing on Monday. Damage to Saudi Arabia’s crucial East-West pipeline stoked worries about oil shortages and inflation, sending oil prices and bond yields higher. Just a few days later, both seem like a distant memory, as oil prices fall premarket and AI stocks jump.

US stock futures were little changed on Friday morning as investors continued to calibrate to the Federal Reserve's first rate hike in three years and existential fears about artificial intelligence's capabilities.

Stocks moved higher, a sharp reversal from yesterday's market action, after the Federal Reserve announced a rate increase. Peter Boockvar, CIO at One Point BFG Wealth Partners, credits the equity gains to easing in Treasury yields, alongside the pullback in oil futures. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.6%.

Stocks and bonds swooned yesterday after the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates for the first time in three years—only to reverse course and charge higher in premarket trading this morning. One explanation, according to Mohit Kumar, Jefferies’ chief European economist: Investors realize they may have overreacted to Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s hawkish tone. “I don't think Warsh indicated a series of rate hikes,” Kumar said.

Will history hold for the bond market?

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said Wednesday he still isn't convinced the problem of high inflation has been defeated.

Stocks took a sharp turn and ended Wednesday's trading session lower after the Federal Reserve delivered a quarter-point increase in interest rates. The Dow tumbled 1.2% or 630 points. The S&P 500 dropped 0.

Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh did nothing to quell the bond market angst. Bond traders expected the Fed to raise interest rates. That should have quelled some angst and raised bond prices. Instead, the 10-year yield is elevated and above 5% mark.

The bond market's reaction to the Fed decision has so far been nothing to write home about. The Fed raised interest rates, a decision that was unanimous. Bond yields, both on the 2- and 10-year, were lower ahead of the decision.

For bond traders life is usually simple, steady and calm. This summer was anything but quiet–and Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh may be the key to fixing that. Over the past two months bond traders feeling unnerved by strong economic growth, inflation fears, and growing borrowing needs have moved fast to dump bonds.

The 10-year Treasury yield has popped up above 5% in each of the past two days. Many investors are probably wondering if it can stay above that level, and if so, for how long. If recent history is any guide, the answer is: not that long.

Here's a check of the markets in the first few minutes of trading.

Stocks braced for an expected Fed rate hike as oil prices and Treasurys continued to exert pressure.

Ten-year Treasury yields (^TNX) crossed above 5% for the first time since 2007. This comes ahead of the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision on Wednesday, where Wall Street is bullish that officials will hike rates. Zacks Investment Management chief market strategist Brian Mulberry comes on Opening Bid to address where other risks in the market may or may not be showing up.

The 10-year Treasury yield rose to its highest level since 2007 on Tuesday.

Risk appetite among money managers is starting to fade as they contend with bond-market volatility and the possibility of a Democratic win in the midterm elections. The biggest tail risk for markets is now a disorderly rise in bond yields, survey results showed—replacing “AI bubble” from last month’s survey. The results were taken even before the global bond selloff gathered steam this week, which has pushed the 10-year Treasury yield past 5%.