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Today's wholesale inflation data sets the stage for tomorrow's consumer price index release, with investors watching closely for signs inflation is spreading beyond energy. The producer price index rose as expected in August, which prompted a move lower in equities, intensified bond yield rises, and caused a jump in odds of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 dropped 0.6% while the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.6%.

The ECB lifted some of its inflation forecasts and warned inflation is “set to remain well above target for an extended period.” Capital Economics described the ECB's latest language as “somewhat hawkish.” ECB decisions aren’t usually a major focus for U.S. investors, but the statement appeared to add fuel to the selloff in the U.S. Treasury market, which was already under pressure from higher oil prices.

Stocks were down on Thursday as investors watched for stress signs in the bond market as long dated bond yields as oil prices remain elevated .

The 10-year Treasury yield is meaningfully higher this morning, taking a cue from the relentless run-up in oil prices and the latest inflation data. The yield on a bond maturing in a decade is at 4.914%, the highest intraday level since October 31, 2023.

Stocks fell on Monday as long-dated bond yields continued to climb amid surging oil prices, raising concerns that the Federal Reserve will need to hike rates at its policy meeting next week.

Stocks were under pressure as oil prices continued their journey upward and traders shifted their expectations of a Fed rate hike in September.

Stocks fell on Monday as long-dated bond yields continued to climb amid surging oil prices, raising concerns that the Federal Reserve will need to hike rates at its policy meeting next week.

Stocks rose after the monthly jobs report

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged lower today as a strong August jobs report provided another datapoint for Federal Reserve policy expectations. Also, diesel prices hit a record high, and another retail brand, Lululemon Athletica, took an earnings hit.

Stocks rose after the monthly jobs report

With the U.S. economy gaining 162,000 jobs in August and unemployment remaining on a steady course, Fed officials won't need to worry as much about labor conditions when weighing the possibility of raising interest rates later this month. If August's jobs growth had been weak again, it might have raised concerns that the economy wasn't strong enough for higher interest rates.

Treasury yields are climbing after a hotter-than-expected jobs report that analysts said increases the chances the Federal Reserve will lift short-term rates at its next meeting. The 2-year yield, which often rises and falls with traders' expectations for short-term rates set by the central bank, was recently trading around 4.

Stocks pulled back after the August jobs report came in strong. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 0.2%, or 129 points, while S&P 500 futures slipped 0.2%. Tech stocks held onto modest gains with Nasdaq 100 futures up 0.

This week was a dramatic one for bond yields. Yields took another step down yesterday after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he would support holding interest rates steady if August inflation data supports it.

Stock futures were rising on Friday as bond yields retreated ahead of the August nonfarm payrolls report, which will help decide the Federal Reserve’s next move on interest rates. Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.5%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slid 47 points, or 0.1%.

As long-term bond yields climb to new heights, a divide over what is driving the historic run-up has opened between Federal Reserve policymakers and Wall Street.

Stocks climbed as Wall Street let out a sigh of relief that bond yields ticked lower and the odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike fell. The S&P 500 gained 1%, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.4%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw gains in morning trading as the odds of a Fed rate hike plunged, geopolitical unrest continued and Nvidia kept acquiring. Here is what is driving the markets today: The Fed’s will-they-won’t-they rate hike: The odds of a Fed rate hike this month are now a coin flip, according to CME FedWatch.

Stocks were little changed as treasury yields stayed elevated.

Treasury yields are on pace for a second consecutive daily decline, as markets trim odds of an interest rate increase this month to 50% from 63%. The drop in yields happens even as the factors driving them to recent highs remain in place.

The market is pricing in a rate increase as the most likely outcome at the central bank's upcoming meeting, according to CME Fed Watch. Odds the Fed will announce an increase in rates on Sept. 16 ticked lower to 64% from 66% on Wednesday, though were still significantly higher than they were just last week. The slight pullback came after New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said the recent rise in Treasury yields reflected a strong economy and signaled a wait-and-see approach to September's meeting.

Bond yields stayed elevated on Wednesday as oil prices hovered near $95 a barrel, spurring worries of higher inflation.

New York Fed President John Williams indicated that he doesn't see clear-cut evidence right now that the Fed must raise interest rates to respond to persistent inflation. In an interview with CNBC, Williams said the current spate of rising prices is due in part to passing causes: one-time price increases from the Trump administration's tariffs and higher energy prices from the Iran conflict. It is not yet certain, he said, that those trends are snowballing into a broader bout of inflation that the Fed must respond to.

Great earnings are now old news. The next market hurdles are the jobs report, CPI, and the Fed’s rate decision.

Investors are now pricing in a 70% chance that the Federal Reserve raises rates at its Sept. 15-16 meeting. That is up from 37% a week ago, according to CME Group data. The jump in rate expectations is a major driver behind the rise in U.

US stocks edged lower on Wednesday as rising oil prices and bond yields sent ripple effects across markets.

Great earnings are now old news. The next market hurdles are the jobs report, CPI, and the Fed’s rate decision.

Stocks slipped in early trading on Tuesday as long-dated bond yields rose and speculation of a rate hike this year grew.

A sustained move higher in yields will have consequences well beyond Wall Street. One of the most direct victims is the government itself, which will be forced to pay higher interest rates on its growing pile of debt as older bonds mature and are replaced by new ones. Over the past half-century, federal interest costs averaged 2.1% of GDP.

Traders are pricing in a more than 66% chance that the Fed will raise rates by a quarter point later this month, according to CME data. Expectations that the central bank will raise interest rates jumped after Kevin Warsh struck a hawkish tone at Jackson Hole on Friday.