The bond market is telling quite a tale for those willing to listen.
Notícias
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World shares were mixed Friday after a modest retreat on Wall Street, while the price of Brent crude gained more than 1%. In early European trading, Germany's DAX rose 0.4% to 26,253.77, while the CAC 40 in Paris edged 0.2% higher to 8,715.47. Selling of computer chipmakers and other stocks linked to the boom in artificial intelligence appeared to taper off a bit as Tokyo's Nikkei 225 lost 0.1% to 65,606.71.
Dow Jones futures: The market pauses, but what happens next? Don't buy these AI stocks yet. Cloudflare, Sezzle lead big earnings movers late.
It has already recovered, but the message is clear.
It’s been 23 weeks since the U.S. began strikes on Iran, and we’re still in the midst of what feels like the hundredth attempt at peace talks. President Donald Trump said this week that a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz was close, but warned that strikes could resume if talks fall apart. This week I’m diving into El Niño, and how the sheer strength of this year’s weather event means that its effects will extend well beyond agriculture profit margins—it will hurt global central banks’ efforts to curb inflation.
A modest silver lining for headline inflation is overshadowed by one of the central bank's favorite inflationary measures.
Sacrificing additional transparency is a dangerous game to play.
Kevin Warsh delivers "shock" while leaving Wall Street in awe.
A Fed divided against itself cannot stand.
Bond traders aren't counting on Warsh and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to sit on their proverbial hands for much longer.
Investors step into another busy week, with the July jobs report and SpaceX earnings in focus.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) are contending with elevated inflation, thanks in part to the president's policies.

<body><p>STORY: Wall Street ended higher on Friday, with the Dow adding more than half a percent, the S&P 500 gaining seven-tenths of a percent and the Nasdaq climbing one percent.</p><p>:: Amazon</p><p>Amazon surged more than 15% after the tech giant posted its biggest quarterly revenue growth in over four years. Its results, along with a similar report from Microsoft this week, alleviated investor concerns about potential overspending on AI data centers.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of Apple tumbled more than 7% after a disappointing forecast showed that the iPhone maker was struggling to secure enough components, as the AI-driven data center boom strains global supply chains.</p><p>Friday marked the end of a bumpy week for stocks that included a Fed policy meeting in which the central bank left rates unchanged - but with three dissenters pushing for a 25 basis point hike.</p><p>Dean Smith is chief strategist & portfolio manager at FolioBeyond.</p><p>"I think there was a decent case to be made that a hike is in order. Inflation, we had a slightly softer print on the most recent one, but inflation is now running well above Fed's 2% stated target. It's higher now than it was a year ago and it seems to be reaccelerating. [FLASH] So it was a close call probably, but I think, you know, if I had been on that voting committee, I would have voted for a rate hike as well."</p><p>:: Archive</p><p>Other stocks on the move Friday included Monolithic Power Systems, which rose more than 8% after forecasting third-quarter revenue above estimates.</p><p>But shares of GoDaddy slid nearly 17% after the domain registrar narrowed its annual revenue forecast.</p></body>
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) dissension just reached a new (and dubious) milestone.
Wall Street Gains Momentum as Inflation Cools and Bond Yields Retreat

Scott Melker discusses the Federal Reserve's latest decision to hold interest rates steady, examining Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's remarks and how US stocks (^DJI, ^IXIC, ^GSPC) and crypto like bitcoin (BTC-USD) have reacted. "The Daily Wolf with Scott Melker" airs every day at 12:00 p.m. Tune in for your daily dose of all things crypto. Make sure to also check out Yahoo Finance's new crypto hub to find the latest crypto-related news.
Stocks kicked off Thursday’s trading session higher, reemerging from the carnage of Wednesday’s selloff. The S&P 500 was up 0.9%, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.6%. Rosenberg Research’s Dave Rosenberg described the moves as “a weak stock-market bound on shaky ground,” nodding to the major averages’ “precarious technical positions,” yesterday’s rise in bond yields, and oil price spikes.
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh praised the bond market’s recent rate moves on Wednesday. He may not feel that way now.
The market got a fresh batch of economic data, with new personal consumption expenditures and gross domestic product data released ahead of the opening bell. Inflation data came in cooler than expected. Core PCE, which excludes food and energy costs and is closely watched by the Federal Reserve, rose 0.1% from the month prior, below consensus estimates of 0.2% and the 0.3% increase seen in May. Headline PCE was roughly in line with expectations.
Wall Street is set to open higher on Thursday as strong Microsoft results helped technology stocks recover from their sharp post-Federal Reserve sell-off. Dow Jones futures were up 225 points, or 0.4%, while S&P 500 futures pointed to a 0.6% gain and the Nasdaq was called 1.3%...