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The market reaction to President Trump’s proposal to give Americans $5,000? Let’s see. Bond yields, already at their highest level in years, ticked higher early Thursday after the president held out the prospect of a dividend payment should Republicans retain control of congress in the midterms.
Stocks fell on Monday as long-dated bond yields continued to climb amid surging oil prices, raising concerns that the Federal Reserve will need to hike rates at its policy meeting next week.
Stocks rose after the monthly jobs report
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged lower today as a strong August jobs report provided another datapoint for Federal Reserve policy expectations. Also, diesel prices hit a record high, and another retail brand, Lululemon Athletica, took an earnings hit.
With the U.S. economy gaining 162,000 jobs in August and unemployment remaining on a steady course, Fed officials won't need to worry as much about labor conditions when weighing the possibility of raising interest rates later this month. If August's jobs growth had been weak again, it might have raised concerns that the economy wasn't strong enough for higher interest rates.
This week was a dramatic one for bond yields. Yields took another step down yesterday after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he would support holding interest rates steady if August inflation data supports it.
The manager of Norway's $2.4 trillion sovereign-wealth fund proposed cutting its holdings of government bonds and adding riskier debt to boost returns. The move would shrink its portfolio of U.S. Treasurys by about $80 billion, according to WSJ calculations. The proposed changes would see the fund's exposure to U.S. Treasurys fall to 21.9% of its bond portfolio from 34.1%.
As long-term bond yields climb to new heights, a divide over what is driving the historic run-up has opened between Federal Reserve policymakers and Wall Street.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw gains in morning trading as the odds of a Fed rate hike plunged, geopolitical unrest continued and Nvidia kept acquiring. Here is what is driving the markets today: The Fed’s will-they-won’t-they rate hike: The odds of a Fed rate hike this month are now a coin flip, according to CME FedWatch.
Oil prices are settling after President Trump told reporters yesterday that he doesn't expect the latest round of fighting in the Middle East to last "too long." Fielding questions in the Oval Office, Trump was also asked about the recent jump in oil prices on the back of the attacks have flared in the Middle East this week.
The market is pricing in a rate increase as the most likely outcome at the central bank's upcoming meeting, according to CME Fed Watch. Odds the Fed will announce an increase in rates on Sept. 16 ticked lower to 64% from 66% on Wednesday, though were still significantly higher than they were just last week. The slight pullback came after New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said the recent rise in Treasury yields reflected a strong economy and signaled a wait-and-see approach to September's meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose moderately today even as worries about rising bond yields and a surge in oil prices are top of traders’ minds. Here is what is driving the markets today: Bonds, treasuries and a global selloff: The bond market is dramatic again today.
Bond yields stayed elevated on Wednesday as oil prices hovered near $95 a barrel, spurring worries of higher inflation.
New York Fed President John Williams indicated that he doesn't see clear-cut evidence right now that the Fed must raise interest rates to respond to persistent inflation. In an interview with CNBC, Williams said the current spate of rising prices is due in part to passing causes: one-time price increases from the Trump administration's tariffs and higher energy prices from the Iran conflict. It is not yet certain, he said, that those trends are snowballing into a broader bout of inflation that the Fed must respond to.
Great earnings are now old news. The next market hurdles are the jobs report, CPI, and the Fed’s rate decision.
Investors are now pricing in a 70% chance that the Federal Reserve raises rates at its Sept. 15-16 meeting. That is up from 37% a week ago, according to CME Group data. The jump in rate expectations is a major driver behind the rise in U.
US stocks edged lower on Wednesday as rising oil prices and bond yields sent ripple effects across markets.
Great earnings are now old news. The next market hurdles are the jobs report, CPI, and the Fed’s rate decision.
Don't ignore rising bond yields!
Stocks slipped in early trading on Tuesday as long-dated bond yields rose and speculation of a rate hike this year grew.
A sustained move higher in yields will have consequences well beyond Wall Street. One of the most direct victims is the government itself, which will be forced to pay higher interest rates on its growing pile of debt as older bonds mature and are replaced by new ones. Over the past half-century, federal interest costs averaged 2.1% of GDP.
Traders are pricing in a more than 66% chance that the Fed will raise rates by a quarter point later this month, according to CME data. Expectations that the central bank will raise interest rates jumped after Kevin Warsh struck a hawkish tone at Jackson Hole on Friday.
The 10-year Treasury yield edged up further on Monday to trade as high as 4.755%, the highest intraday value since January 15, 2025, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Yields rise when bond prices fall--essentially investors are now paying less money to buy that same fixed payout on a long bond. Yields had risen on Friday as well after Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech that signaled higher rates are here to stay.
The stock market picked up steam even as odds of a September interest-rate hike rose in the wake of Kevin Warsh's hawkish remarks. The Nasdaq Composite gained 0.5%. Warsh's first speech at Jackson Hole since taking over as Fed chair had traders upping bets on a September rate hike.
Stocks were struggling to find direction on Friday after Kevin Warsh began his Jackson Hole speech. The Nasdaq Composite was down 0.2%. The tone of Warsh's speech was more hawkish than his prior comments since taking over as chairman.
How much will Kevin Warsh say in Jackson Hole today? Today marks his first major address since then, but some market watchers are skeptical the tight-lipped chairman will tip his hands on rates. “The irony is that he now faces pressure to communicate more clearly to address questions around the Fed’s credibility,” wrote Hetal Mehta, chief economist at the British wealth manager St. James’s Place.
Stocks weren’t moving much at the open on Friday, as Wall Street awaited Kevin Warsh’s looming Jackson Hole speech. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 150 points, or 0.3%. The Nasdaq Composite was down 0.1%.
All eyes turned to the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole Symposium, where Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh is scheduled to speak.
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