Jerome Powell's successor vowed to get the Fed "out of the fiscal business" -- but that's not happened.
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No forward-looking guidance is necessary when Warsh and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) are providing decisive claims like this.
Payrolls badly missed the 115,000 economists expected, and the unemployment rate's dip to 4.2% masked a shrinking labor force. Now it's Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's problem.

<body><p>STORY: U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday, with the Dow gaining nearly three-tenths of a percent, the S&P 500 adding more than four-tenths of a percent to end just short of a record high, and the Nasdaq climbing nearly three-tenths of a percent.</p><p>The AI trade returned to the spotlight after South Korean memory chip maker SK Hynix ended almost 13% above its offer price at $168 in a blockbuster U.S. listing. The company raised over $26 billion on Thursday by selling American Depositary Receipts priced at $149 each.</p><p>U.S. stocks added to gains after President Donald Trump said that Iran had asked to continue talks and the U.S. had agreed, but that the June ceasefire was "over."</p><p>Ross Mayfield is investment strategist at Baird Private Wealth Management.</p><p>"Today I think markets are a little bit higher as it's evident once again that neither Iran nor the U.S. really want to re-engage in a hot war in the Middle East. This is going to be a volatile back and forth, who knows what will happen over the weekend. But I do think even a little bit of calm is helping markets, helping yields and oil pull back. And then this is kind of a calm before the storm. Not a lot going on today besides the SK Hynix debut. But next week - retail sales, CPI (Consumer Price Index), and the start of bank earnings. So a lot for investors to prep for, kind of a calm before the storm trading day."</p><p>Stocks on the move Friday included Meta Platforms, which jumped 6% to its highest level since April.</p><p>Shares of Moderna tumbled almost 11% in its worst day in over a year.</p><p>And shares of Delta Air Lines dropped more than 1.5%, even after the carrier forecast third-quarter profit above expectations.</p><p>Investors now look to quarterly earnings season, which kicks off next week.</p></body>
U.S. stocks ended slightly higher after a multibillion-dollar share offering in the semiconductor sector steadied volatility.
A weak stock market wouldn’t be the only painful outcome of a Mag Seven collapse. It could also risk tipping the economy into recession.
Stocks saw brief pullback after Trump posted about U.S.-Iran negotiations. The Dow was up 54 points or 0.1%, while the S&P 500 hovered near the flatline. “The muted stock market reaction to the re-escalation of Iran tensions this week is prime evidence that the market is looking past geopolitical tensions,” Clark Bellin, CIO of Bellwether Wealth said, adding, “From a stock market point of view, the stock market already reacted to the Iran situation in March and similar to last year's tariff tantrums, once the market reacts to something, it tends to move on in due time.”
FEATURE Earnings seasons has started with a whimper, but the next three weeks could determine whether the market can build on its first-half gains, or end the year with a thud. Early reporters have disappointed the market—even when they beat earnings expectations.
The stock market's biggest catalyst may bring about its own demise.
President Trump said on Thursday that Iran has called him seeking a deal, though Iran hasn’t confirmed this. The S&P 500 index rebounded by 0.8%, and the Nasdaq Composite index gained 1.3%. The beverage and snack giant reported a rise in sales volume for its North America unit, but a decline in revenue.
FINANCE U.S. stocks rose as fears about a return to full-blown war in Iran subsided, bringing down oil prices and quelling inflation expectations. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 139.02, or 0.27%, to 52487.
Stocks rose, and oil prices eased as financial markets calmed a day after President Donald Trump raised doubts about the temporary truce in the war with Iran. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.3%, and the Nasdaq composite rose 1.3%. The Nasdaq composite rose 336.24 points, or 1.3%, to 26,206.89.
By Pete Schroeder WASHINGTON, July 9 (Reuters) - Wall Street surged on Thursday while oil prices retreated, as investors focused on optimism around strength in technology shares and the overall
Initial Claims came in at +215K, right where they were a week ago, and Continuing Claims also came in precisely where last week's original print did: +1.814 million.
July 9 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq edged higher at the open on Thursday, as gains in chip stocks helped offset renewed geopolitical jitters after fresh exchange of attacks threatened to
U. S. stock index futures traded modestly higher on Thursday despite another round of military strikes between the United States and Iran, while investors prepared for quarterly results from PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP) and continued to monitor developments in global energy markets.
By Pete Schroeder WASHINGTON, July 8 (Reuters) - Stocks were mostly lower and oil prices rose on Wednesday after U.S.
U.S. stocks were mostly lower after President Trump said the ceasefire with Iran was over, suggesting the latest exchange of attacks near the Strait of Hormuz could continue. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite rose 51.96, or 0.2%,to 25870.65, as beaten-down semiconductor stocks recouped some losses. The most significant tensions since the June peace deal began with Iranian attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz earlier this week, which set back efforts to reopen the strategic waterway.
Markets tumbled after President Trump said the ceasefire with Iran may be over. Speaking in Turkey at the NATO summit, the president said the U.S. was likely to continue strikes. The Nasdaq Composite, however, managed a 0.2% gain.
BNP Paribas analyst James Picariello doesn’t see a Tesla-SpaceX merger happening any time soon. He ticks off several reasons why.
Stocks were little-changed after the Fed released minutes from its latest meeting. The Federal Open Market Committee held rates steady in June, and the meeting was the first under the leadership of Chairman Kevin Warsh. The Dow was down 600 points, or 1.6%, the S&P 500 was down 0.4%, and the Nasdaq was down 0.1%.
July 8 (Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes opened lower on Wednesday after President Donald Trump said an interim deal aimed at ending the war with Iran was "over," sending oil prices higher and
Tesla produced a new version of its Model Y crossover. Tesla stock was down 1.1% in premarket trading at $396.61, while and futures were down 0.6% and 0.9%, respectively. The stock is down despite Tesla starting production of the three-row, six-seat version of its Model Y, called the Model Y L, with L for long wheelbase.
Stock Market Today: The Dow Jones index dropped Wednesday after Trump declared the ceasefire is "over." Micron and Sandisk dived.
U.S. futures and European equities extended losses in late morning European trading, as market fear further conflict in the Middle East.
The inflation devil is in the details.
The major gauges wavered after strikes in Iran resumed to end a brief period of stability.
U.S. stocks fell as investors fled increasingly volatile artificial-intelligence investments in the wake of Samsung Electronics’ earnings report and renewed disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.