Q
QuantAbundance

Theme

Neoclouds / GPU-as-a-Service

AI-native cloud operators that buy NVIDIA (and AMD) accelerators at scale and rent GPU-hours to AI labs and enterprises - the "GPU-as-a-Service" layer sitting between the chipmakers and the model builders. Distinct from the hyperscalers: neoclouds run a thin, compute-first stack optimized for training and inference density, not a full enterprise-software cloud. The public pure-plays are CoreWeave (CRWV) and Nebius (NBIS); a second cohort of bitcoin miners has pivoted their power + real estate into HPC hosting (APLD, IREN, CORZ, WULF, CIFR). The capacity leaders driving the actual buildout are still private - Crusoe, Lambda, Together AI, Nscale - several on IPO tracks. Microsoft alone has struck ~$60B of neocloud capacity commitments across CoreWeave, Nebius and Nscale. Tracked as an editorial theme rather than a 13th bubble because the listed basket beta-drifts into semiconductors + datacenter-power. Thematic ETF: Roundhill Neocloud ETF ($NCLD).

0.701avg corr (252d)
10stocks
Strong co-movement

Stocks · key Fib levels

  • #1
    CRWV
    $46.40last
    $96.00fib

    The flagship listed neocloud. Purpose-built GPU cloud, largest independent NVIDIA capacity outside the hyperscalers; anchor of Microsoft's ~$60B neocloud commitments. The cleanest public pure-play on GPU-as-a-Service.

    $103.7B backloganchored by OpenAI · META · Anthropic
    • $103.7B of remaining performance obligations (contracted backlog) at June 30, 2026: 41% expected to be recognized within 24 months, 39% in months 25 to 48, the rest in months 49 to 78 (10-Q filed 2026-08-12)
    • Anchor customers: OpenAI, Meta and Anthropic
    • Debt: $35.6B of principal outstanding at June 30, 2026 (recourse $31.4B and non-recourse $3.7B, net of costs), including $6.6B of convertible notes due 2031 and 2032; operating lease liabilities $16.3B (same 10-Q)
  • #2
    NBIS
    $129.49last
    $113.00fib

    Nebius - European-rooted AI-native cloud (Yandex spinout). Full-stack GPU cloud + own datacenters; second clean listed pure-play alongside CRWV, also inside the Microsoft capacity deals.

    $46B backloganchored by MSFT · META · NVDA
    • ~$46B contracted backlog
    • ~$19B Microsoft deal
    • ~$27B Meta partnership through 2032
    • $2B equity check from NVDA
  • Applied Digital - HPC/AI datacenter developer-operator. Pivoted from bitcoin hosting to purpose-built AI campuses; leases high-density capacity to neocloud + hyperscaler tenants.

    $36B backlog1.4 GWanchored by CRWV
    • Polaris Forge 1 (Ellendale, ND): 400 MW, CoreWeave, ~$11B, 175 MW live (Jun 2026)
    • Polaris Forge 2 (Harwood, ND): 200 MW, investment-grade hyperscaler, ~$5B, ROFR on 800 MW more (signed 2025-10)
    • Delta Forge 1 (Boyce, LA): 300 MW, investment-grade hyperscaler, ~$7.5B, from 2027
    • Polaris Forge 3 (ND): 300 MW, same hyperscaler, ~$7.5B, from 2027
    • Delta Forge 2 (southern state): 210 MW, same hyperscaler, ~$5.2B, from H1 2028
    • Total: ~1,410 MW, ~$36B base term (~$86B with renewals), per the FY2026 release (2026-07-27)
  • #4
    IREN
    $21.64last
    $43.00fib

    IREN (ex-Iris Energy) - bitcoin miner converting owned power + sites into GPU cloud + AI HPC hosting. Power-first neocloud convert with a self-built datacenter footprint.

    $10B backlog2.9 GWanchored by MSFT
    • $MSFT AI cloud contract: $9.7B, ~5 years, NVIDIA GB300 at Childress in four 50 MW phases (Horizon 1-4), 20% prepayment, ~$1.9B expected annual run-rate (announced 2025-11)
    • Frontier AI lab: multi-year GPU cloud contract, customer and value undisclosed (2026-08)
    • Mirantis: all-share acquisition closed 2026-08 (~$625M), cloud orchestration software and ~580 staff
    • GPU financing: $3.6B investment-grade debt at ~6.0% for the Microsoft build; $2.4B facility at 9.0% for Mackenzie (2026-08)
    • Sites: Childress 750 MW and Sweetwater 1 (1,400 MW) + 2 (600 MW) in Texas; Canal Flats, Prince George, Mackenzie in BC (~160 MW)
    • FY2026 (to 2026-06-30): revenue $707.0M (AI cloud $128.8M, mining $578.2M); ~$4B contracted annual run-rate for 2026 capacity (release 2026-08-27)
  • Core Scientific - HPC hosting at scale, anchored by a multi-year CoreWeave hosting contract. The picks-and-shovels landlord to a listed neocloud.

    anchored by CoreWeave · Bitmain · Foundry Digital
    • Jun 2026 - CoreWeave contract expansion announced, bringing total contracted HPC hosting capacity to ~590 MW with ~$10B aggregate revenue potential over 12-year terms
    • Mar 2026 - Additional CoreWeave HPC hosting amendment adding 70 MW, total contract value stepped up versus prior disclosures
    • Jun 2025 - Expanded CoreWeave HPC hosting deals to ~382 MW contracted, multi-year, anchored at Denton TX site
    • Jun 2025 - Initial CoreWeave HPC hosting contract: 200 MW, 12-year, ~$3.5B aggregate revenue potential
    • Jan 2024 - Emerged from Chapter 11, relisted on Nasdaq under ticker CORZ
    • 2023 - Initial $1.6B / 12-year CoreWeave HPC hosting framework signed pre-emergence
  • #6
    WULF
    $11.37last
    - fib

    TeraWulf - miner converting low-cost (nuclear-adjacent) power into AI/HPC hosting capacity. Power + real estate optionality more than a full GPU-cloud stack.

    $12.7B backlog840 MWanchored by Fluidstack (Google credit support) · Anthropic · Core42 (G42)
    • Fluidstack, Lake Mariner: 378 MW of critical IT, Google credit support (backstop) on the lease obligations
    • Core42 (G42), Lake Mariner: 60 MW, 10-year leases with two 5-year renewals, fully delivered
    • Anthropic, Justified (Hawesville, KY): 20-year lease, ~401 MW, ~$19B first term (up to ~$33B with extensions, company estimate), first capacity H2 2027, full by early 2028 (8-K 2026-07-06)
    • Abernathy, TX JV: agreement to sell the 50.1% interest to a Fluidstack-led group for ~$530M vs ~$450M invested (2026-07-06); closing not yet confirmed by filing
    • Pipeline: Cayuga / Lake Hawkeye (NY, ~320 MW potential around 2029), Muskie (KY, up to 1 GW of power), Chesapeake (MD, ~210 MW station, FERC authorization 2026-07-29)
    • Financing: $3.2B 7.75% senior secured notes due 2030; $2.525B convertibles due 2030-2032 (10-Q, 2026-06-30)
  • #7
    CIFR
    $6.54last
    $17.00fib

    Cipher Mining - bitcoin miner pivoting sites toward AI/HPC hosting. Earliest-stage of the miner-to-neocloud converts; optionality play on the power + land base.

    $6.9B backlog600 MWanchored by Fluidstack · GOOGL · AWS
    • Barber Lake: 300 MW fully contracted with Fluidstack
    • Google backstops $1.4B with ~5% equity stake
    • Separate AWS $5.5B 15-year deal for another 300 MW
  • #8
    BRUN
    $6.09last
    - fib

    Boost Run: a GPU-cloud provider renting NVIDIA servers from leased US colocation sites, with Cohere ($525.6M) and two undisclosed customers signed since June 2026. Q2 2026 revenue was $31.1M against a $1.44B five-year hardware purchase commitment, so it trades as a funding and delivery story at the small end of the theme, closest in shape to SharonAI.

    anchored by Cohere ($525.6M over about five years, acceptance from Q2 2027) · Undisclosed customer ($207.6M, 240 GPU servers from 2026-11-30) · Undisclosed customer ($222.5M over 48 months, 1,536 NVIDIA B300 GPUs from March 2027)
    • 2023 : Boost Run founded in Northbrook, Illinois; builds GPU-cloud infrastructure for enterprise AI and HPC
    • 2026-04-15 : software license and support agreement, $100M payable in five annual installments from October 2026 (vendor not named in the 10-Q)
    • 2026-04-17 : partnership agreement with minimum purchase commitments of about $1.44B over five years ($578M in year 1, $215.5M in each of years 2 to 5); reported at listing as the GPU procurement agreement with $DELL
    • 2026-05-08 : de-SPAC with Willow Lane Acquisition Corp closes; net proceeds about $114.1M; bridge and related-party loans repaid
    • 2026-05-11 : trading begins on Nasdaq as BRUN
    • 2026-06-08 : GPU rental agreement, about $207.6M for the initial term, 240 GPU servers from 2026-11-30 ($19.0M prepaid); amended 2026-06-27 to add 18 CPU nodes and about 6.27 PB of NVMe storage
    • 2026-07-09 : order form, about $222.5M over 48 months (plus a one-year option worth about $30.6M), 192 servers with 1,536 NVIDIA B300 GPUs from March 2027
    • 2026-07-16 : Rock Island, Illinois lease, 6.5 MW total load, 60 months
    • 2026-07-21 : public warrants called for redemption on 2026-08-20; warrants removed from Nasdaq after the call (Form 25, 2026-08-25)
    • 2026-08-13 : Pryor, Oklahoma data center lease, 144 months from 2026-12-15
    • Q2 2026 (to 2026-06-30) : revenue $31.1M (Q2 2025: $8.4M); operating loss $12.9M; net loss $75.0M including a $55.7M deferred tax charge; cash $120.2M plus $13.0M restricted; finance lease liabilities $238.1M; customer deposits $128.4M (10-Q filed 2026-08-18)
    • 2026-08-18 : Q1 10-Q amended: disclosure controls not effective, three material weaknesses (IT general controls, segregation of duties, finance and accounting staffing); Q1 and Q2 reports both filed after an NT 10-Q
    • 2026-08-19 : resale registration of 58.7M Class A shares and 4.0M private warrants by selling holders (424B3)
    • 2026-08-27 and 2026-09-14 : Sean Goodrich sells 198,200 shares at $20.15 and 500,000 shares at $14.00 (Form 4); no open-market insider purchases on file
    • 2026-09-29 : RSU grants of 2.89M (CFO), 1.40M (CTO) and 0.30M (COO) shares, plus a $1M cash award to the COO (8-K filed 2026-10-05)
    • 2026-09-30 : Cohere service agreement, about $525.6M over about five years per rack, acceptance from Q2 2027; Cohere may terminate and recover prepayments if a minimum is not accepted by 2027-07-15 (8-K filed 2026-10-06)
    • Share count : 49,954,423 Class A and 29,533,018 Class B shares per the 10-Q cover (2026-08-17)
  • #8
    HUT
    $52.65last
    - fib

    Hut 8 - bitcoin miner converting owned power + sites into AI/HPC hosting; a 6.3% constituent of $NCLD. Miner-to-neocloud convert in the same cohort as IREN / CORZ / WULF / CIFR.

    anchored by American Bitcoin Corp. (ABTC, majority-owned) · Hosted mining customers (undisclosed) · Self-mining (HUT own fleet)
    • Nov 2024 - Hut 8 Mining + US Bitcoin Corp. merger closes, forming Hut 8 Corp. (Nasdaq: HUT)
    • Mar 2026 - American Bitcoin Corp. (ABTC) carve-out launched with Eric Trump + Donald Trump Jr. as co-founders; HUT retains majority stake
    • 2026 - Vega, Texas site brought online: ~205 MW first phase, liquid-cooled, designed for high-density HPC/AI workloads alongside BTC mining
    • 2026 - Salt Creek, TX gas-powered site (~63 MW) operational under joint venture; off-grid behind-the-meter economics
    • Ongoing - Hosting agreements at Alpha (TX), Niagara (NY), Drumheller + Medicine Hat (Alberta) sites; ~1,330 MW total managed energy capacity
  • SharonAI: a GPU-cloud provider building AI-factory capacity in Australia and New Zealand under a six-year NVIDIA collaboration, with about $3.9B of announced multi-year contracts and $1.05B of convertible financing. Revenue is still $1.93M a quarter, so it trades as a build-out and execution story at the small end of the theme, closest in shape to Boost Run.

    132 MWanchored by ESDS Software Solution Limited ($1.26B services arrangement, signed Q1 2026) · Global technology company, Asia-Pacific (about $950M over five years, May 2026) · Global AI laboratory (about $1.32B over five years, revenue from Q1-Q2 2027) · Global AI platform (about $373M over five years, revenue from Q1 2027)
    • 2025-12 : de-SPAC with Roth CH Acquisition closes; the company becomes SharonAI Holdings (Nasdaq: SHAZ)
    • Q1 2026 : $1.26B customer services arrangement with ESDS Software Solution Limited; about $720M of expected capex (10-Q, Note 20)
    • 2026-05 : about $950M, five-year contract with a global technology company in Asia-Pacific; about $400M of hardware, about 20% deposit paid (10-Q, Note 20)
    • 2026-05 : $350M 6.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031
    • 2026-06 : $700M 4.75% Convertible Senior Notes due 2032
    • 2026-06 : six-year AI infrastructure compute collaboration with NVIDIA, about $4B of committed hardware procurement (10-Q, Note 20)
    • 2026-06-30 : cash and equivalents $1.86B; convertible notes carried at $1.0065B (10-Q)
    • Q2 2026 : revenue $1.93M (Q2 2025: $0.38M), gross profit $1.17M, operating loss $24.8M, net loss $430.4M including a $400.4M change in fair value of convertible notes (10-Q)
    • After 2026-06-30 (subsequent events in the 10-Q) : about $1.32B five-year contract with a global AI laboratory (New Zealand, revenue from Q1-Q2 2027, about $765M of commitments) and about $373M five-year contract with a global AI platform (2,048 NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra B300 GPUs, revenue from Q1 2027, about $217M of commitments)
    • Capacity : about 132 MW of AI-factory capacity, about 116 MW contracted; 15 MW with GreenSquareDC (ready-for-service target 2026-09-26, 120-month term); 72 MW with NEXTDC (about $623M, five phases April to August 2027); 14 MW in New Zealand
    • 2026-09-23 : Ernst & Young engaged as auditor for fiscal 2026, replacing HoganTaylor (8-K filed 2026-09-24)
    • 2026-09-28 : syndicated facility for up to $356M senior secured term loans (Facility A up to $150M at 7.25% rising to 9.95%, Facility B up to $206M at 9.95%), 42-month bullet maturity, 18-month make-whole; non-recourse to the parent once Facility A is repaid (8-K filed 2026-10-01)
    • Share count : 35,667,164 Class A and 136,341 Class B shares per the 10-Q cover (2026-08-05)

Private leaders· IPO watch · not investable today

  • #1Crusoe EnergyDenver, CO · est. 2018

    Power-first AI-factory model; ~$30B valuation in talks mid-2026.

    backersFounders FundFidelityMubadalaG2 Venture PartnersNVIDIA

    outlook~$10B in the Oct 2025 round; reportedly in talks mid-2026 to raise ~$3B near a ~$30B valuation. Among the most likely large neocloud IPO candidates.

    $10.0B2025-10
  • #2NscaleLondon, UK · est. 2024

    Fastest scale-up; inside the Microsoft ~$60B neocloud commitments.

    backersSandton CapitalBlue OwlDellNokiaNVIDIAAker

    outlook$2B Series C at $14.6B (Mar 2026), one of the fastest scale-ups in the sector. Inside the ~$60B Microsoft capacity deals; IPO plausible on continued buildout.

    $14.6B2026-03
  • #3Together AISan Francisco, CA · est. 2022

    Neocloud + inference-stack hybrid; $8.3B (Jul 2026).

    backersGeneral CatalystProsperity7NVIDIAKleiner PerkinsLux Capital

    outlook$800M Series C at $8.3B (Jul 2026). Fast-compounding valuation; credible late-stage IPO candidate if inference demand holds.

    $8.30B2026-07
  • #4LambdaSan Francisco, CA · est. 2012

    Earliest GPUaaS pure-play; nearest-term IPO candidate.

    backersThomas TullSGWB CapitalSK TelecomNVIDIAARK Invest

    outlook~$5.9B last primary round (late 2025); secondary marks near ~$9B by mid-2026. Working toward an IPO - one of the nearest-term listed-neocloud candidates.

    $5.90B2025-12

Co-movement matrix (252d)

APLD
BRUN
CIFR
CORZ
CRWV
HUT
IREN
NBIS
SHAZ
WULF
APLD·0.730.770.780.700.740.780.670.530.79
BRUN0.73·0.660.710.770.670.700.790.730.72
CIFR0.770.66·0.820.640.810.820.630.510.85
CORZ0.780.710.82·0.750.760.790.720.570.83
CRWV0.700.770.640.75·0.640.690.820.550.67
HUT0.740.670.810.760.64·0.760.620.500.79
IREN0.780.700.820.790.690.76·0.670.530.77
NBIS0.670.790.630.720.820.620.67·0.590.66
SHAZ0.530.730.510.570.550.500.530.59·0.54
WULF0.790.720.850.830.670.790.770.660.54·

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Frequently asked questions

What are the top stocks in the Neoclouds / GPU-as-a-Service theme?
QuantAbundance's Neoclouds / GPU-as-a-Service theme tracks 10 stocks ranked editorially: CRWV, NBIS, APLD, IREN, CORZ, WULF, CIFR, BRUN, HUT, SHAZ.
Which private companies are in the Neoclouds / GPU-as-a-Service theme?
4 private leaders are tracked for IPO watch: Crusoe Energy, Nscale, Together AI, Lambda.
Do Neoclouds / GPU-as-a-Service stocks move together?
The Neoclouds / GPU-as-a-Service theme has a 252-day average correlation of 0.70 across its members - strong co-movement. Editorial themes are narrative groupings, not capital-flow validated; tradability follows correlation, not the story.
Tema Neoclouds / GPU-as-a-Service - 10 ações (CRWV, NBIS, APLD) · QuantAbundance