Yes, Roundhill S&P SMID 60 ETF (LMBO) holds PYPL with 5.17% (as of 2026-09-23).

PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) is held by LMBO (5.17%).

What AI bubble is PYPL in?

PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) is mapped to the Enterprise SaaS AI bubble on QuantAbundance. Classifier 2026-05-07: extended tier, corr 0.49 to ai-software centroid (29 obs, 2nd: hyperscalers 0.382). is_primary_bubble=FALSE.

What sector is PYPL in?

PayPal Holdings, Inc. is classified under GICS Financials (Transaction & Payment Processing Services).

What is PYPL's last close price?

PYPL last closed at $52.60 on 2026-09-24.

PYPL

NASDAQNext earnings·Oct 27AnalystsHold·32+9%

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

Financials · Transaction & Payment Processing Services

$52.60last close

-22.5%~252d

Price

-22.49% over 1Y

3 auto-fib

Thesis

as of 2026-09-23

Bull case

Structural read: PYPL is the legacy leader in online checkout (~45% of US e-comm checkout pages still embed the button) facing real share erosion from Shop Pay, $AAPL Pay, and direct card-on-file. 69%) as low-margin Braintree mix grew. Chriss-era thesis is profitable-growth: trade volume for transaction margin dollars, monetize Venmo's 90M+ US users via debit card + merchant ads, and turn checkout into an ad surface (Smart Receipts AI, Fastlane).

- Transaction margin $ growing 7-9% Y/Y even with TPV deceleration - pricing discipline working

- Fastlane (guest checkout) live with Adyen, Shopify partners; early conversion uplift data 80%+ vs guest

- Venmo monetization runway: debit card spend +30%, Pay-with-Venmo merchant count climbing

- $6B+ annual buyback at ~9× fwd P/E shrinks share count ~7%/yr; ~$15B net cash

- AI Smart Receipts + targeted ads = high-margin optionality on 400M+ active accounts

Bear case

- Branded checkout volume share losing 100-200bps/yr to Shop Pay + $AAPL Pay native flows

- Take rate floor unknown; Braintree unit economics structurally below branded

- Active accounts flat ~430M for 2 years, MAU declining - top-of-funnel broken

- Ad/commerce monetization unproven at scale vs $GOOGL, $META, $AMZN

- Stablecoin (PYUSD) traction minimal; not yet a revenue lever

•2026-Q1: Fastlane integrations expanded with $SHOP, Adyen, Fiserv - guest-checkout conversion data shared by partners
•2025-Q4: Smart Receipts AI rolled out to US PayPal users; ad-personalization layer on email receipts
•2025-08: Multi-year processing deal with major airline (undisclosed) routed through Braintree
•2024-08: Alex Chriss launches "PayPal Everywhere" - Venmo/PayPal debit cashback push
•2023-08: PYUSD stablecoin launched via Paxos custody; $1B+ circulation peak, since drifted lower
•Ongoing: branded checkout default on $EBAY (legacy spin-off relationship, renegotiated 2020)

customerseBay · Shopify (Fastlane) · Adyen (Fastlane) · Fiserv · Uber (Braintree) · Airbnb (Braintree) · undisclosed airline

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Analyze PYPL· interactive tools

Fibonacci levels Correlation matrix Learn the method

Bubbles· capital-flow co-movement

Enterprise SaaS AIw 0.45

Top correlated· 252d co-movement

TOSTToast, Inc.
0.47
FISFidelity National Information Services, Inc.
0.46
MCOMoody's Corporation
0.46
NDAQNasdaq, Inc.
0.45
XYZBlock, Inc.
0.44
SIVENetworking / Optical
0.43
ADSKAutodesk, Inc.
0.40
BKNGBooking Holdings Inc.
0.39

Related research· long-form analysis touching PYPL

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Recent news· high-signal only

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No major news in the last 7 days for PYPL - only listicles and opinion pieces, which we filter out by default. See everything anyway.

Held by ETFs

LMBORoundhill S&P SMID 60 ETF
5.17%

Key levels

$54.03
0.618 retr of 38.46->79.22 (52w) · 2026-09-24
Auto-computed retracement of the trailing 52w low-high leg. Recomputed on each refresh; not a curated level.
-2.6%
$58.84
0.5 retr of 38.46->79.22 (52w) · 2026-09-24
Auto-computed retracement of the trailing 52w low-high leg. Recomputed on each refresh; not a curated level.
-10.6%
$47.18
0.786 retr of 38.46->79.22 (52w) · 2026-09-24
Auto-computed retracement of the trailing 52w low-high leg. Recomputed on each refresh; not a curated level.
+11.5%
$63.65
0.382 retr of 38.46->79.22 (52w) · 2026-09-24
Out of reach · reference only
-17.4%

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Facts

Exchange: NASDAQ
Currency: USD
Market cap: $44.92B
Last update: 2026-09-24

Revenue (TTM)$34.1B

P/E9.9×

P/S1.3×

Net margin14.4%

Frequently asked questions

Is PYPL in LMBO?: Yes, Roundhill S&P SMID 60 ETF (LMBO) holds PYPL with 5.17% (as of 2026-09-23).
What ETFs hold PYPL?: PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) is held by LMBO (5.17%).
What AI bubble is PYPL in?: PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) is mapped to the Enterprise SaaS AI bubble on QuantAbundance. Classifier 2026-05-07: extended tier, corr 0.49 to ai-software centroid (29 obs, 2nd: hyperscalers 0.382). is_primary_bubble=FALSE.
What sector is PYPL in?: PayPal Holdings, Inc. is classified under GICS Financials (Transaction & Payment Processing Services).
What is PYPL's last close price?: PYPL last closed at $52.60 on 2026-09-24.