RKLB
NASDAQNext earningsNov 9todayRocket Lab USA, Inc. ação
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
$53.07last close
+7.0%~252d
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Price
+6.97% over 1Y1 curated level2 auto-fib
Video teardown
A walkthrough of this page: the numbers, the levels, and where it sits.
Tese
em 2026-11-08
Bull case
Structural read: only Western pure-play with a flying small-launch vehicle and a medium-launch vehicle in development, plus a Space Systems business that turns one-shot launch revenue into recurring component + bus + on-orbit-services flow.
Neutron is the binary catalyst - first flight slipped from 2025 to mid-2026; success reprices RKLB into the $SPX-eligible reusable-launch peer set with $SPCE long gone and $LMT/$BA captive to government cost-plus.
- Electron flight cadence rising (~15 launches in 2025 run-rate, only $SPX-listed small-launch operator with consistent manifest)
- Space Systems >70% of revenue, gross margins materially above launch segment, partially derisks Neutron timeline
- Neutron reusability targets sub-$50M/launch - direct $SPX/$LMT EELV substitute, US Space Force lane-1 NSSL win 2025 validates customer interest
- Backlog growing into Neutron ramp (multi-year visibility on Space Systems contracts)
- Government share rising (US DoD + Space Force + allies) - sticky, multi-year, non-cyclical
Bear case
- Neutron first flight has slipped repeatedly; another year of slip pushes meaningful Neutron revenue to 2027+
- Negative FCF, cash burn funded by equity raises - dilution risk if Neutron slips again
- Trading at >20x forward sales (vs $LMT 1.8x, $NOC 2.0x) - pricing assumes Neutron success
- Electron unit economics still thin; small-launch demand softer than 2022 expectations as rideshare ($SPX Transporter) compresses pricing
- Concentration risk: single-engine ($Archimedes) failure on Neutron debut would be a multi-quarter setback
- 2025 - US Space Force NSSL Phase 3 Lane 1 - selected alongside $SPX, Blue Origin, ULA for national security launches; Neutron-conditional but validates DoD customer interest
- 2024 - ESCAPADE (NASA Mars mission) - two spacecraft built + launched on Blue Origin New Glenn; Space Systems credibility win
- 2024 - Space Development Agency Tranche 2 - $515M contract for 18 satellite buses; multi-year recurring revenue
- 2024 - Globalstar constellation - $515M deal to build 17 satellites + ground systems (Apple-backed program)
- 2023+ - recurring Electron manifest - Synspective, BlackSky, HawkEye 360, Capella Space - small-sat operators using Electron as primary ride
- 2025 - Neutron first flight target slipped to mid-2026 - Archimedes engine hot-fire ongoing at Stennis
clientesUS Space Force · NASA · Space Development Agency · Globalstar · BlackSky · Synspective
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Analyze RKLBinteractive tools
Bubblescapital-flow co-movement
Themeseditorial groupings
Convictionin 2 watchlists
Top correlated252d co-movement
Related research
Long-form analysis touching RKLB
- 7 minHow to invest in the SpaceX IPO (SPCX), and what to buy if you can't get inMost retail can't get SpaceX ($SPCX) at the $135 offer. The honest ways to get exposure: the open-market debut June 12, the index funds about to hold it, and the public space names (RKLB, ASTS, RDW) already trading the theme.
- 8 minSpaceX IPO (SPCX): the $1.77T listing, what you're buying, and the space cohortSpaceX prices the largest IPO ever on June 11 (SPCX, $135, ~$1.77T). What you're actually buying (launch + Starlink + Starship), the listing mechanics, and the public space names already trading the theme.
- 8 minO que é reversão à média? Três variações backtestadas - e só uma vence de forma consistenteReversão à média é uma classe, não uma estratégia. Fizemos walk-forward de três implementações em 35 nomes temáticos: o canal de regressão vence em 22 de 35, a cesta de Fibonacci vence com PF 1.76, o Bollinger de média plana vence 1 de 35. A razão estrutural é qual média você assume.
- 8 minO que é retração de Fibonacci? Um backtest quant de 3 anos em 48 níveis ativosO Fibonacci de manual é 23,6 / 38,2 / 50 / 61,8 / 78,6%. Fizemos o backtest de 48 níveis curados pelo usuário em 12 temas - PF da cesta de 1,76, Sharpe de 1,42, +23,7% em 3 anos. Eis o que funciona, o que não funciona e em quais classes de ativos.
Recent news
High-signal only
- Barrons.com8h agoInflation Data, Constellation Energy, Skydance, Applied Materials, and More to Watch This Week
- Investor's Business Daily2d agoSpaceX Land Deal, Tesla Merger Dealt Election Blow. Space Stocks Rebound.
- Barchart2d agoAhead of Rocket Lab Earnings, Here's What Barchart Data Says Comes Next for RKLB Stock
- Trefis2d agoRocket Lab Earnings Ahead: What Past Reactions Say About The Stock
- Investor's Business Daily2d agoSpaceX, Tesla Merger Less Likely After Midterms. Texas Gov. Requests Pause On Land Talks.
- Barrons.com2d agoAST SpaceMobile Will Use Firefly in Bold Move to Build Its Starlink Competitor
Key levels
- -14.2%$61.840.786 retr of 37.57->151.00 (52w) · 2026-11-06
Auto-computed retracement of the trailing 52w low-high leg. Recomputed on each refresh; not a curated level.
- -30.0%$75.80Key Fib level · 2026-05-03
Next Fib support - @StonkValue 2026-05-03
- -34.4%$80.900.618 retr of 37.57->151.00 (52w) · 2026-11-06
Auto-computed retracement of the trailing 52w low-high leg. Recomputed on each refresh; not a curated level.
- -43.7%$94.280.5 retr of 37.57->151.00 (52w) · 2026-11-06Out of reach · reference only
- -50.7%$107.670.382 retr of 37.57->151.00 (52w) · 2026-11-06Out of reach · reference only
Trading 30.0% below fib key.
Facts
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
- Currency
- USD
- Market cap
- $33.93B
- Last update
- 2026-11-06
Revenue (TTM)$769M
P/E -
P/S44.1×
Net margin-21.5%
Frequently asked questions
- Is RKLB in ARKX?
- Yes, ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF (ARKX) holds RKLB with 5.36% (as of 2026-11-06).
- Is RKLB in UFO?
- Yes, Procure Space ETF (UFO) holds RKLB with 4.48% (as of 2026-11-06).
- Is RKLB in ARKQ?
- Yes, ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF (ARKQ) holds RKLB with 4.00% (as of 2026-11-06).
- What ETFs hold RKLB?
- Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) is held by ARKX (5.36%), UFO (4.48%), ARKQ (4.00%).
- What AI bubble is RKLB in?
- Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) is mapped to the Space / Sat Comms bubble on QuantAbundance. Electron + Neutron launch.
- What sector is RKLB in?
- Rocket Lab USA, Inc. is classified under GICS Industrials (Aerospace & Defense).
- What is RKLB's last close price?
- RKLB last closed at $53.07 on 2026-11-06.